::Forum - Stastistical improbability or bug?

Year 10 Day 261 18:28	Stastistical improbability or bug?
Ellias Aubec	Over the last week or so I've attempted to upgrade several different doors from lvl 1 to lvl 2. Every single time I have failed completely. I know that this is possible, but I have a 45% chance of sucessfully upgrading such a door, yet this has not happened over the last 20 odd times I have attempted it. I have made lvl 1 doors when I got fed up, but still, cannot upgrade them or the other doors. So is anyone else having issue with upgrading a door, or am I just on a seriously bad luck streak? ____________

Year 10 Day 261 19:06	Stastistical improbability or bug?
Hal Breden	I've upgraded a couple of doors lately, and had no problems. I did have a stretch for a couple of days where I couldn't upgrade a level 2 door to level 3 for love nor money. I took a break, ran an errand in another ship, came back... no problem. I'm guessing it's bad luck, unless there's something that could be "sticking" so that if you fail it once you keep failing it?? Dunno if that's possible with the way it's done, but it's a thought. ____________ "May the Grace of Ara go with you, and His Vengeance be wrought upon your enemies." Only fools and children dream of heroes.

Year 10 Day 261 19:08	Stastistical improbability or bug?
Ellias Aubec	Hmm. Well I'll keep going at it for the moment. Wait until this little hyper trip is over and I switch to another ship. ____________

Year 10 Day 262 15:35	Stastistical improbability or bug?
Christian Hall	1 Year 10 Day 261, 10:13 You have failed to modify the Lock on the Ship, ****** same for me. ____________

Year 10 Day 262 17:33	Stastistical improbability or bug?
Mephiston Leonatos	I'd call it just a statistical improbabilty. I myself have a 5% chance of upgrading from lvl2 to a lvl3 door but successfully got it on my 3rd try so just keep going and wear a hard hat. ____________

Year 10 Day 262 18:10	Stastistical improbability or bug?
Ellias Aubec	Yeah, managed to upgrade 2 doors and make another one in my last 3 tries. Stupid stupid probability... On the other hand, making a post seemed to make it work. ____________

Year 10 Day 262 18:32	Stastistical improbability or bug?
Mikel von Bianchi	You should hear the things I yell when I fail force training at 90%. =P ____________ [19:48] .Zhao> Items know they're inside me

Year 10 Day 266 15:50	Stastistical improbability or bug?
Umbeck Traxer	At least the rules state you have a chance. For 1 entire month I once sat on one piece of Rock terrain and scanned with my squad of FK-7s 2x a day. Something like a 33% chance to find something attempted 60 times. I could NOT understand why I couldn't find anything. Of course no where in the rules does it mntion that once you scan, you have zero chance of finding anything when you scan again unless someone else comes along that has a different calculation or % to scan, either 11 FK-7s or Groundhogs, or a different CompOps. When I learned that I was sooooo upset with the rules for not detailing that. At least I gained a few levels in the process.... Long sob story short, Perhaps the Doors are the same way? Maybe you need to exit the ship and enter again, or something to that extent? Re-roll the equation, if you will. Edited By: Umbeck Traxer on Year 10 Day 266 15:51

Year 10 Day 266 22:36	Stastistical improbability or bug?
Teyacapan Quetzalxochitl	Prospecting - not a lot of common sense there, eh... Doors - you don't have to exit the room. Just keep trying.

Year 10 Day 266 23:08	Stastistical improbability or bug?
Ellias Aubec	Umbeck, see 2 posts above yours.... ____________

	Year	Day	Time
	14	202	1:45:32

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